Looking for expert Sportpesa Midweek Jackpot predictions for this week's 13 games? AccurateStakes provides free, comprehensive analysis with confidence ratings, match breakdowns, and winning strategies to help you target the bonus brackets and grand prize.
| # | Match | Tip | Confidence | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Zira
UEFA Europa Conference League · 07/16/2026 16:00
|
2 |
47%
|
0 - 3 ✅
|
|
Torpedo Kutaisi
VS
Zira
⏳ Kick-off: 07/16/2026 16:00 · UEFA Europa Conference League
Zira have the edge in this matchup with a 47% win probability. Their recent form and away performance suggest they can get a positive result in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
25% Home Win 28% Draw 47% Away Win 0 - 3 Score Confidence47%
|
|||||
2 |
Vikingur Gota vs Stjarnan
UEFA Europa Conference League · 07/16/2026 17:00
|
2 |
47%
|
2 - 2 ❌
|
|
Vikingur Gota
VS
Stjarnan
⏳ Kick-off: 07/16/2026 17:00 · UEFA Europa Conference League
Stjarnan have the edge in this matchup with a 47% win probability. Their recent form and away performance suggest they can get a positive result in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
25% Home Win 28% Draw 47% Away Win 2 - 2 Score Confidence47%
|
|||||
3 |
Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani
UEFA Europa Conference League · 07/16/2026 17:00
|
1 |
38%
|
0 - 0 ❌
|
|
Bate Borisov
VS
AF Elbasani
⏳ Kick-off: 07/16/2026 17:00 · UEFA Europa Conference League
Bate Borisov are favoured at home with a 38% win probability. Playing in the UEFA Europa Conference League, they have a strong chance of securing all three points based on current form and home advantage.
38% Home Win 32% Draw 30% Away Win 0 - 0 Score Confidence38%
|
|||||
4 |
Milsami Orhei vs Velež
UEFA Europa Conference League · 07/16/2026 17:00
|
1 |
38%
|
0 - 1 ❌
|
|
Milsami Orhei
VS
Velež
⏳ Kick-off: 07/16/2026 17:00 · UEFA Europa Conference League
Milsami Orhei are favoured at home with a 38% win probability. Playing in the UEFA Europa Conference League, they have a strong chance of securing all three points based on current form and home advantage.
38% Home Win 32% Draw 30% Away Win 0 - 1 Score Confidence38%
|
|||||
5 |
Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split
UEFA Europa League · 07/16/2026 18:30
|
2 |
47%
|
2 - 1 ❌
|
|
Žilina
VS
HNK Hajduk Split
⏳ Kick-off: 07/16/2026 18:30 · UEFA Europa League
HNK Hajduk Split have the edge in this matchup with a 47% win probability. Their recent form and away performance suggest they can get a positive result in the UEFA Europa League.
25% Home Win 28% Draw 47% Away Win 2 - 1 Score Confidence47%
|
|||||
6 |
Aucas vs Independiente del Valle
Liga Pro · 07/16/2026 21:30
|
2 |
47%
|
0 - 3 ✅
|
|
Aucas
VS
Independiente del Valle
⏳ Kick-off: 07/16/2026 21:30 · Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle have the edge in this matchup with a 47% win probability. Their recent form and away performance suggest they can get a positive result in the Liga Pro.
25% Home Win 28% Draw 47% Away Win 0 - 3 Score Confidence47%
|
|||||
7 |
Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama
Serie A · 07/16/2026 22:30
|
1 |
38%
|
1 - 0 ✅
|
|
Vitoria
VS
Vasco DA Gama
⏳ Kick-off: 07/16/2026 22:30 · Serie A
Vitoria are favoured at home with a 38% win probability. Playing in the Serie A, they have a strong chance of securing all three points based on current form and home advantage.
38% Home Win 32% Draw 30% Away Win 1 - 0 Score Confidence38%
|
|||||
8 |
Orense SC vs Emelec
Liga Pro · 07/17/2026 00:00
|
1 |
45%
|
0 - 2 ❌
|
|
Orense SC
VS
Emelec
⏳ Kick-off: 07/17/2026 00:00 · Liga Pro
Orense SC are favoured at home with a 45% win probability. Playing in the Liga Pro, they have a strong chance of securing all three points based on current form and home advantage.
45% Home Win 30% Draw 25% Away Win 0 - 2 Score Confidence45%
|
|||||
9 |
Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer · 07/17/2026 00:30
|
2 |
40%
|
Pending
|
|
Chicago Fire
VS
Vancouver Whitecaps
⏳ Kick-off: 07/17/2026 00:30 · Major League Soccer
Vancouver Whitecaps have the edge in this matchup with a 40% win probability. Their recent form and away performance suggest they can get a positive result in the Major League Soccer.
30% Home Win 30% Draw 40% Away Win TBD Score Confidence40%
|
|||||
10 |
Eastern Lions vs Bayside Argonauts
Victoria Premier League 2 · 07/17/2026 09:45
|
2 |
40%
|
1 - 1 ❌
|
|
Eastern Lions
VS
Bayside Argonauts
⏳ Kick-off: 07/17/2026 09:45 · Victoria Premier League 2
Bayside Argonauts have the edge in this matchup with a 40% win probability. Their recent form and away performance suggest they can get a positive result in the Victoria Premier League 2.
30% Home Win 30% Draw 40% Away Win 1 - 1 Score Confidence40%
|
|||||
11 |
FC Voluntari vs FC Botosani
Liga I · 07/17/2026 15:30
|
1 |
38%
|
2 - 2 ❌
|
|
FC Voluntari
VS
FC Botosani
⏳ Kick-off: 07/17/2026 15:30 · Liga I
FC Voluntari are favoured at home with a 38% win probability. Playing in the Liga I, they have a strong chance of securing all three points based on current form and home advantage.
38% Home Win 32% Draw 30% Away Win 2 - 2 Score Confidence38%
|
|||||
12 |
Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman
Primera Nacional · 07/17/2026 18:00
|
1 |
45%
|
0 - 0 ❌
|
|
Deportivo Maipu
VS
San Martin Tucuman
⏳ Kick-off: 07/17/2026 18:00 · Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu are favoured at home with a 45% win probability. Playing in the Primera Nacional, they have a strong chance of securing all three points based on current form and home advantage.
45% Home Win 30% Draw 25% Away Win 0 - 0 Score Confidence45%
|
|||||
13 |
Almirante Brown vs CA Estudiantes
Primera Nacional · 07/17/2026 18:00
|
1 |
38%
|
0 - 0 ❌
|
|
Almirante Brown
VS
CA Estudiantes
⏳ Kick-off: 07/17/2026 18:00 · Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown are favoured at home with a 38% win probability. Playing in the Primera Nacional, they have a strong chance of securing all three points based on current form and home advantage.
38% Home Win 32% Draw 30% Away Win 0 - 0 Score Confidence38%
|
|||||
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(Starts At: 2026-07-22T18:00:00+03:00 - Ends At: 2026-07-23T23:00:00+03:00)
The SportPesa Midweek Jackpot is one of Kenya's most accessible paths to life-changing winnings. With prizes ranging from KES 50–100 million for a perfect 13/13 score and substantial bonuses for 10, 11, or 12 correct predictions, the Midweek Jackpot offers better structural odds than the 17-game Mega Jackpot while still maintaining massive prize potential.
But here's the truth: Predicting 13 matches correctly is not luck—it's strategy. With 3^13 = 1,594,323 possible outcome combinations, random guessing gives you less than 0.00007% chance of hitting 13/13. That's where data-driven analysis separates disciplined bettors from hopeful guessers.
At AccurateStakes, we provide free expert predictions for all 13 SportPesa Midweek Jackpot games, achieving a 71% average accuracy per match over the last month. More importantly, our systematic approach is designed to help you consistently hit the bonus brackets (10–12 correct) where realistic profits lie.
| Correct Predictions | Typical Payout | Probability (71% Accuracy) |
|---|---|---|
| 13/13 (Jackpot) | KES 50–100M | ~1–2% |
| 12/13 | KES 500K – 2M | ~10–15% |
| 11/13 | KES 50K – 200K | ~22–28% |
| 10/13 | KES 5K – 20K | ~30–38% |